Why New Zealand’s volcano alerts not forecasts

first_imgNew Zealand’s largest city, Auckland,sits on a volcanic field made up of about 50 volcanic cones and craters thathave erupted over the past 250,000 years. Some have daily tours. An aerial view of the Whakaari, also known as White Island volcano, in New Zealand, Dec. 12, 2019. REUTERS The apparent juxtaposition, which hasconfused many observers, arises because GeoNet’s Volcanic Alert Level System isnot a forecast, although people might assume it is. The tragedy at White Island – the Maoriname for which, Te Puia o Whakaaritranslates to “the dramatic volcano” and “that which can be made visible” – couldlead to changes in the notification system in a country that is home to dozensof volcanoes. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern noted thatwhen White Island last erupted in 2016, during the evening when no one was onthe island, the alert level was 1. On Thursday, the same day thatvolcanologists said rising tremor activity had increased the chances of anothereruption in the following 24 hours to 50-60 percent, Geonet lowered the alertlevel back down to two. The alert level was not raised untilafter Monday’s deadly eruption, when it was briefly lifted to four before itwas lowered to three later in the day. At the time of Monday’s eruption, the VolcanicAlert Level was set at two, around the middle of a six-step 0-5 scale used byGeoNet and signaling “moderate to heightened volcanic unrest” – not enough tostop regular tourist trips to the island. Mount Ruapehu on the central NorthIsland has erupted several times in recent years but is still a major touristattraction, with ski resorts on its slopes. Geonet stresses on its website that thesystem “reflects the current state of the volcano and does not provide aforecast of future activity. An eruption may occur at any level.” “The Alert Level number itself is a reallycoarse mechanism to give a heads-up for a status change in the volcano.” “So it is an unpredictable volcano,” shetold Australian radio after announcing an inquiry into the tragedy and thewider volcano tourism industry. “Having said that, that’s not sufficient interms of explanation as to whether or not the right checks and balances were inplace.” (Reuters) WELLINGTON – New Zealand’s geologicalagency downgraded its “alert level” for the White Island volcano this week.last_img read more


Martino: Decision lies with Cesc

first_imgBarcelona manager Gerardo Martino is confident Cesc Fabregas will not swap the Nou Camp for Old Trafford but admits the Spain international will decide his own future. “He is one of the best players in the squad. I think he will stay. But there’s a part that he has to decide. “Cesc will decide the situation, but it has not occurred to me that I won’t be able to count on him.” Fabregas was on the bench for Friday’s 8-0 thrashing of Brazilian side Santos at the Nou Camp but came on in the second half alongside new signing Neymar to score twice and set up Jean Marie Dongou for the final goal. Lionel Messi, Pedro, Alexis Sanchez and Adriano also scored for the Spanish side, along with an own goal by Santos defender Leo. Press Associationcenter_img The Primera Division champions have already rejected bids of £25million and £30million from Manchester United and Martino believes the former Arsenal midfielder will continue to fend off their advances to stay at Barca. “I would prefer him to stay with us and I dare say he will, but it’s his decision,” Martino told the club’s official website. last_img read more


2015 Mary Kline Classic: Syracuse players of interest perform in top high school showcase

first_img Facebook Twitter Google+ Published on May 31, 2015 at 12:15 am Contact Sam: sjfortie@syr.edu | @Sam4TR WEST ORANGE, N.J. – Matthew Moyer lost his footing and slipped. He looked like he was about to get hurt.But then the rising high school senior gathered himself, spun inside past two defenders and arched his left hand high, floating the ball in past two swooping defender’s hands.Two Syracuse commits – one of which was Moyer – along with many other SU targets and players with offers, joined some of the nation’s top talent east of the Mississippi river Saturday night at the Mary Kline Classic. The basketball tournament, started by Syracuse senior Alex Kline in memoriam of his mother, who died from brain cancer, played its fifth annual event in the West Orange high school gymnasium. The event raised $43,000 for cancer research.Moustapha Diagne, Four-Star Power Forward, Class of 2015, CommittedThough he said he was there just for fun, Diagne, listed as 6 feet 8 inches and 240 pounds by Scout, wasted no time in throwing his weight around.AdvertisementThis is placeholder textWhen receiving the ball in the low post, he varied his movements from using a power-dribble into a drop-step and spinning into the lane. Diagne drew “Oohs!” from the crowd when he gained inside position on 6-foot-11-inch tall Josh Sharma, a Stanford commit, and powered through his larger opponent to finish a lay-up. He also deftly used his left hand to finishing a leaner in traffic and fooled an opponent with a drive and a reverse lay-up.“I’ve been working for everything for next level,” Diagne said. “I know I can get a lot better. I’ve been working on my jump shot from 15 feet, 17 feet.”Diagne put that practice to use in the Classic, making two-of-four jumpers, one being a fadeaway that followed a crossover. He attempted one 3-pointer that clanged off the far rim.Diagne pushed the ball up the court often, once throwing a nice bounce pass for a dunk. He also turned the ball over twice.Matthew Moyer, Four-Star Power Forward, Class of 2016, CommittedMoyer’s night didn’t start well. He missed a 3-pointer from the top of the arc and then committed a foul.But he soon found his rhythm and led his team in scoring with 12 points at halftime behind three straight possessions which ended with a Moyer dunk.Moyer, currently Syracuse’s only 2016 commit, consistently drew double-teams off the pick-and-roll and found big men open underneath for easy dunks. He also shot three jumpers, something he’ll be working on a lot more this summer.“I’m trying to be known as a knock-down shooter, not just an athlete,” Moyer said.He said he’s talked daily with Syracuse assistant coach Gerry McNamara and two or three times per week with head coach Jim Boeheim.“When we talk, it’s never about ball,” Moyer said. “It’s like, ‘Should I break up with my girl?’ or things like that. Life things. Special program, special people. With G-Mac, it’s like a father-figure and son.”Jack Meriwether, who coached against Moyer in the game, said he could tell Moyer wasn’t pushing his hardest because he’s a big-game player, but that his staff still had trouble deciding who to guard Moyer with. He’s too big for guards and too quick for big guys, Meriwether said.Moyer will attend an NBA Top 100 camp in two weeks.Trevon Duval, Five-Star Point Guard, Class of 2017, Offered Duval missed an alley-oop, a dunk and a jump-shot to open the game and was visibly frustrated.But after a drive, dish and dunk by a teammate, Duval’s play improved. He drew fouls, hit his free throws and distributed to teammates, but also had four turnovers.Duval visited Syracuse last year during Midnight Madness, and said he’s received offers from Villanova, Virginia Tech, Maryland and California.“I’ve got no time-table for picking schools,” he said. “Right now, I’m getting a lot of mail.”His uncle, Frank Martins, said he’s also been offered by Michigan and that he’ll starting short-listing schools at the end of next summer, but they haven’t even talked about it yet. Duval was born in New York, Martins added, and that his family grew up Syracuse and St. Johns fans.Sedee Keita, Four-Star Power Forward, Class of 2016, OfferedKeita, quick for a big man listed at 6-foot-9 and 220 pounds, was very active on the defensive end and forced two turnovers. But he committed some turnovers as well on the other end of the floor.The South Carolina native, with other offers from Iowa State and Memphis, missed two lay-ups at one point, but snagged the third rebound and put it home. He rebounded well and had one particularly thunderous block.Jordan Tucker, Four-Star Small Forward, Class of 2017, OfferedTucker missed three 3-pointers, one of which was tightly contested, and two jumpers. He turned the ball over twice and missed a lay-up.Nicholas Richards, Four-Star Center, Class of 2017, OfferedRichards had to bow out of the classic due to other obligations, Kline said. Commentslast_img read more


Long expected to be named for Euro2016 play off squad

first_imgO’Neill is expected to name an extended provisional panel for the two-leg tie, with some media speculation that in-form Brentford midfielder Alan Judge will be handed a call-up after a series of impressive performances in the Championship.Tipperary’s Shane Long is also set to be included in the squad after Southampton confirmed over the weekend that the Gortnahoe striker is expected to return to first-team action shortly after his ankle injury.The main concern will be over the fitness of defender John O’Shea, who suffered a suspected hamstring strain during Sunderland’s derby win over Newcastle last Sunday.last_img read more